IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.7	#239
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.9	#146
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.0	#172

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.7	#303

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	19.7%	31.2%	19.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	59.3%	82.1%	57.0%
.500 or above in Conference	79.0%	88.7%	78.0%
Conference Champion	41.3%	58.5%	39.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%

First Four	7.1%	5.5%	7.2%
First Round	16.5%	28.7%	15.3%
Second Round	0.6%	1.4%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 9.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 7	14 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	87	@ Pittsburgh	L	64-78	9%
Nov 28, 2020	202	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	73-72	53%
Dec 01, 2020	6	@ Virginia	L	50-74	1%
Dec 03, 2020	147	@ Liberty	L	60-69	22%
Dec 05, 2020	212	Robert Morris	W	72-70	56%
Dec 08, 2020	257	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	68-70	43%
Dec 12, 2020	85	@ St. Bonaventure	L	66-80	11%
Dec 15, 2020	233	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79-76	60%
Dec 16, 2020	233	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79-76	60%
Dec 22, 2020	259	Niagara	W	76-72	64%
Jan 07, 2021	260	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	80-82	44%
Jan 08, 2021	260	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	80-82	44%
Jan 14, 2021	294	Bryant	W	81-75	70%
Jan 15, 2021	294	Bryant	W	81-75	69%
Jan 21, 2021	311	@ Sacred Heart	W	77-76	56%
Jan 22, 2021	311	@ Sacred Heart	W	77-76	55%
Jan 30, 2021	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	83-72	82%
Jan 31, 2021	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	83-72	83%
Feb 04, 2021	290	@ Merrimack	L	65-66	49%
Feb 05, 2021	290	@ Merrimack	L	65-66	49%
Feb 11, 2021	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-73	73%
Feb 12, 2021	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-73	73%
Feb 20, 2021	313	@ Wagner	W	76-74	54%
Feb 21, 2021	313	@ Wagner	W	76-74	55%
Feb 25, 2021	257	Mount St. Mary's	W	71-67	63%
Projected Record						13 - 12	11 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.5	2.6	5.1	6.9	7.8	7.3	5.7	3.3	1.7		40.8	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	3.3	5.4	4.9	3.4	1.6	0.6	0.1				20.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	3.3	4.5	2.4	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0					12.1	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	2.6	3.6	1.5	0.3	0.0	0.0							8.3	4th
5th							0.2	1.2	2.9	1.0	0.1										5.3	5th
6th						0.1	0.8	2.2	0.9	0.1											4.1	6th
7th					0.1	0.6	1.6	1.1	0.1												3.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.1	0.9	0.1													2.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.0													1.8	9th
10th		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1															1.0	10th
11th	0.0																				0.0	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.3	2.6	3.5	5.1	6.9	8.7	9.8	10.7	11.1	10.6	9.5	7.9	5.8	3.3	1.7			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.7		1.7
17-1	100.0%	3.3		3.3	0.1
16-2	98.4%	5.7		5.5	0.2
15-3	92.6%	7.3		6.7	0.6	0.0
14-4	82.3%	7.8		6.2	1.5	0.1
13-5	65.3%	6.9		5.0	1.8	0.2
12-6	45.7%	5.1		2.8	1.9	0.3	0.0
11-7	24.0%	2.6		0.7	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0
10-8	4.9%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.2%	0.0				0.0			0.0

Total	40.8%	40.8		31.8	7.3	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.7%		55.0%	55.0%		13.7												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.7
17-1	3.3%		47.1%	47.1%		14.3													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.1	1.8
16-2	5.8%		46.8%	46.8%		14.7													0.0	0.3	0.7	1.2	0.5	3.1
15-3	7.9%		34.9%	34.9%		15.1														0.1	0.4	1.4	0.8	5.2
14-4	9.5%		30.5%	30.5%		15.5														0.0	0.2	1.1	1.6	6.6
13-5	10.6%		24.7%	24.7%		15.7															0.1	0.6	1.9	8.0
12-6	11.1%		19.7%	19.7%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.9	8.9
11-7	10.7%		14.9%	14.9%		16.0																0.1	1.5	9.1
10-8	9.8%		12.2%	12.2%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.2	8.6
9-9	8.7%		6.6%	6.6%		16.0																	0.6	8.1
8-10	6.9%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																	0.4	6.5
7-11	5.1%		4.5%	4.5%		16.0																	0.2	4.9
6-12	3.5%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.1	3.4
5-13	2.6%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.1	2.6
4-14	1.3%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		19.7%	19.7%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.1	0.9	2.5	5.2	11.0	80.3		0.0%